Article 14218

Title of the article

DEMOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS OF FERTILITY WITH THE USE OF THE INDEX METHOD (REGIONAL ASPECT) 

Authors

Koshevoy Oleg Sergeevich, Doctor of engineering sciences, professor, department of economics and finances, Penza State University (40 Krasnaya street, Penza, Russia), olaa1@yandex.ru
Luzgina Ol'ga Anatol'evna, Doctor of economic sciences, professor, department of economics and finances, Penza State University (40 Krasnaya street, Penza, Russia), em@pnzgu.ru
Supikov Vadim Nikolaevich, Doctor of sociological sciences, professor, department of public administration and regional sociology, Penza State University (40 Krasnaya street, Penza, Russia), gmu@pnzgu.ru 

Index UDK

314.3 

DOI

10.21685/2072-3016-2018-2-14 

Abstract

Background. The demographic situation in the Russian Federation has a direct effect on the labour market indicators that ultimately affects the economic security of the country. Given the negative aspects related to fertility, since 2013 years research in the field of reproduction of labour force, are relevant. The aim of this study was to develop a methodology to diagnose the situation with fertility and choose directions its improvement.
Materials and methods. Used information resources of official statistics. As a research method accepted index theory. In addition, used a secondary analysis of sociological data.
Results. Methodology operational diagnosis of the situation with fertility. Set the direction of increasing the birth rate.
Conclusions. Found that the focus of increasing the birth rate should be in the direction of increasing age fertility rates. The direction of increasing fertility associated with redistribution of births in different age and gender groups, is less of a priority. The existing support system fertility does not provide a breakthrough in the field of indigenous enhance reproduction. 

Key words

demography, fertility, fertility rates, variable composition index, index of the permanent composition, structural change 

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References

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Дата создания: 14.01.2019 15:08
Дата обновления: 18.01.2019 09:57